Everton certainly have a result in them at Goodison Park, and they will fancy their chances of causing a damaged Man United team problems on Saturday. That said, Ronaldo's return will boost the Red Devils, and we are expecting a very tight match to swing the way of the 20-time English champions, further deepening Everton's relegation fears at a key period of the campaign.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 43.08%. A win for Everton had a probability of 32.38% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.59%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Everton win was 2-1 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
