This is a tough fixture to call - even before factoring in the significant unknown of Everton's potentially missing players - considering the hosts' inability to claim three points and the Toffees' lacklustre form on the road. We are backing the two to cancel each other out and produce a score draw.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 42.95%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 29.72% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (8.1%). The likeliest Burnley win was 1-0 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.