SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 46.28%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 28.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.24%) and 0-2 (8.14%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 1-0 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Crystal Palace | Draw | Manchester United |
28.26% ( -0.7) | 25.46% ( 0.12) | 46.28% ( 0.58) |
| Both teams to score 53.1% ( -0.84) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.67% ( -0.88) | 50.32% ( 0.88) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.73% ( -0.78) | 72.27% ( 0.78) |
| Crystal Palace Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.85% ( -0.97) | 32.15% ( 0.97) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.37% ( -1.12) | 68.63% ( 1.12) |
| Manchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.26% ( -0.11) | 21.74% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.08% ( -0.16) | 54.92% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Crystal Palace | Draw | Manchester United |
| 1-0 @ 7.93% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 6.87% ( -0.15)2-0 @ 4.5% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 2.6% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 1.7% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.68% Total : 28.26% | 1-1 @ 12.1% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 6.99% ( 0.25)2-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.13)3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.45% | 0-1 @ 10.66% ( 0.34) 1-2 @ 9.24% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 8.14% ( 0.24)1-3 @ 4.7% ( -0)0-3 @ 4.14% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 1.79% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.58% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.36% Total : 46.28% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 94 | 33 | 61 | 89 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 88 | 43 | 45 | 84 |
| 3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 23 | 6 | 9 | 58 | 43 | 15 | 75 |
| 4 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 68 | 33 | 35 | 71 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 75 | 47 | 28 | 67 |
| 6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 18 | 8 | 12 | 72 | 53 | 19 | 62 |
| 7 | Aston Villa | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 61 |
| 8 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 70 | 63 | 7 | 60 |
| 9 | Brentford | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 59 |
| 10 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 55 | 53 | 2 | 52 |
| 11 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 45 |
| 12 | Chelsea | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 44 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 58 | -27 | 41 |
| 14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 40 |
| 15 | Bournemouth | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 37 | 71 | -34 | 39 |
| 16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 68 | -30 | 38 |
| 17 | Everton | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 34 | 57 | -23 | 36 |
| R | Leicester CityLeicester | 38 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 51 | 68 | -17 | 34 |
| R | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 48 | 78 | -30 | 31 |
| R | Southampton | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 36 | 73 | -37 | 25 |
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