SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Manchester City | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Manchester United | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Newcastle United | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Chelsea | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Crystal Palace | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Everton | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 56.99%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.5%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 0-1 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Manchester United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Manchester United.
| Result | ||
| Manchester United | Draw | Crystal Palace |
56.99% ( 0.25) | 22.3% ( -0.42) | 20.7% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 55.09% ( 1.66) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.21% ( 2.07) | 43.79% ( -2.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.82% ( 2) | 66.18% ( -2) |
| Manchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.86% ( 0.8) | 15.14% ( -0.8) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 56.27% ( 1.49) | 43.73% ( -1.49) |
| Crystal Palace Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.92% ( 1.35) | 35.08% ( -1.35) |
