Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
6 | Chelsea | 0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Crystal Palace | 0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Everton | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Aston Villa | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Bournemouth | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 44.33%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 30.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.08%) and 0-2 (7.63%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 1-0 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.
Result | ||
Crystal Palace | Draw | Arsenal |
30.16% ( 0.11) | 25.52% ( 0.23) | 44.33% ( -0.34) |
Both teams to score 54.06% ( -0.69) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.4% ( -0.93) | 49.6% ( 0.93) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.38% ( -0.84) | 71.62% ( 0.84) |
Crystal Palace Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.61% ( -0.39) | 30.39% ( 0.39) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.41% ( -0.47) | 66.59% ( 0.47) |
Arsenal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.67% ( -0.55) | 22.33% ( 0.55) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.19% ( -0.83) | 55.81% ( 0.83) |
Score Analysis |
Crystal Palace | Draw | Arsenal |
1-0 @ 8.08% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 7.22% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.81% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 2.87% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 1.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.12% Total : 30.16% | 1-1 @ 12.11% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 6.79% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.51% | 0-1 @ 10.17% ( 0.21) 1-2 @ 9.08% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 7.63% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 4.54% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 3.81% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.7% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 1.7% ( -0.07) 0-4 @ 1.43% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.24% Total : 44.32% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 94 | 33 | 61 | 89 |
2 | Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 88 | 43 | 45 | 84 |
3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 23 | 6 | 9 | 58 | 43 | 15 | 75 |
4 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 68 | 33 | 35 | 71 |
5 | Liverpool | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 75 | 47 | 28 | 67 |
6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 18 | 8 | 12 | 72 | 53 | 19 | 62 |
7 | Aston Villa | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 61 |
8 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 70 | 63 | 7 | 60 |
9 | Brentford | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 59 |
10 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 55 | 53 | 2 | 52 |
11 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 45 |
12 | Chelsea | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 44 |
13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 58 | -27 | 41 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 40 |
15 | Bournemouth | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 37 | 71 | -34 | 39 |
16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 68 | -30 | 38 |
17 | Everton | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 34 | 57 | -23 | 36 |
R | Leicester CityLeicester | 38 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 51 | 68 | -17 | 34 |
R | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 48 | 78 | -30 | 31 |
R | Southampton | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 36 | 73 | -37 | 25 |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups: