SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 51.7%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 24.83% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.58%) and 0-2 (8.44%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-1 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | Manchester City |
24.83% ( 0.4) | 23.46% ( 0.08) | 51.7% ( -0.49) |
| Both teams to score 56.61% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.68% ( 0.03) | 44.31% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.31% ( 0.03) | 66.69% ( -0.04) |
| Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.34% ( 0.35) | 31.66% ( -0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.93% ( 0.4) | 68.07% ( -0.41) |
| Manchester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.83% ( -0.17) | 17.17% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 52.58% ( -0.29) | 47.42% ( 0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | Manchester City |
| 2-1 @ 6.34% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 6.25% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 3.6% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 2.43% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.14% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 1.38% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.7% Total : 24.83% | 1-1 @ 11.01% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 5.44% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.46% | 1-2 @ 9.71% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 8.44% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 5.7% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 4.96% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 3.28% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.51% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 2.18% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 1.44% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.91% Total : 51.7% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 94 | 33 | 61 | 89 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 88 | 43 | 45 | 84 |
| 3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 23 | 6 | 9 | 58 | 43 | 15 | 75 |
| 4 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 68 | 33 | 35 | 71 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 75 | 47 | 28 | 67 |
| 6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 18 | 8 | 12 | 72 | 53 | 19 | 62 |
| 7 | Aston Villa | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 61 |
| 8 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 70 | 63 | 7 | 60 |
| 9 | Brentford | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 59 |
| 10 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 55 | 53 | 2 | 52 |
| 11 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 45 |
| 12 | Chelsea | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 44 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 58 | -27 | 41 |
| 14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 40 |
| 15 | Bournemouth | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 37 | 71 | -34 | 39 |
| 16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 68 | -30 | 38 |
| 17 | Everton | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 34 | 57 | -23 | 36 |
| R | Leicester CityLeicester | 38 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 51 | 68 | -17 | 34 |
| R | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 48 | 78 | -30 | 31 |
| R | Southampton | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 36 | 73 | -37 | 25 |
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