SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 54.14%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 25.46% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.64%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
54.14% ( -0.03) | 20.4% ( 0) | 25.46% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 68.5% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.96% ( -0) | 29.03% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.98% ( -0) | 50.02% ( 0) |
| Arsenal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.91% ( -0.01) | 11.09% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 64.52% ( -0.02) | 35.47% ( 0.01) |
| Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.04% ( 0.01) | 22.95% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.26% ( 0.02) | 56.73% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
| 2-1 @ 9.06% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.64% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.15% ( -0)1-0 @ 5.6% ( -0)3-2 @ 4.89% 3-0 @ 4.51% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.65% ( -0)4-2 @ 2.69% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.48% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.61% ( -0)4-3 @ 1.32% 5-2 @ 1.18% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.09% ( -0)Other @ 3.27% Total : 54.14% | 1-1 @ 8.24% ( 0) 2-2 @ 6.67% ( 0)0-0 @ 2.54% 3-3 @ 2.4% ( 0)Other @ 0.55% Total : 20.4% | 1-2 @ 6.06% ( 0) 0-1 @ 3.75% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.27% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.97% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.76% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.35% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.2% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.09% ( 0)Other @ 3% Total : 25.46% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 94 | 33 | 61 | 89 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 88 | 43 | 45 | 84 |
| 3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 23 | 6 | 9 | 58 | 43 | 15 | 75 |
| 4 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 68 | 33 | 35 | 71 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 75 | 47 | 28 | 67 |
| 6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 18 | 8 | 12 | 72 | 53 | 19 | 62 |
| 7 | Aston Villa | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 61 |
| 8 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 70 | 63 | 7 | 60 |
| 9 | Brentford | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 59 |
| 10 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 55 | 53 | 2 | 52 |
| 11 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 45 |
| 12 | Chelsea | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 44 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 58 | -27 | 41 |
| 14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 40 |
| 15 | Bournemouth | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 37 | 71 | -34 | 39 |
| 16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 68 | -30 | 38 |
| 17 | Everton | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 34 | 57 | -23 | 36 |
| R | Leicester CityLeicester | 38 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 51 | 68 | -17 | 34 |
| R | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 48 | 78 | -30 | 31 |
| R | Southampton | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 36 | 73 | -37 | 25 |
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