Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 43.05%. A win for Watford had a probability of 30.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
