Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 77.67%. A draw had a probability of 14.7% and a win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 7.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (11.12%) and 0-1 (10.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.98%), while for a Dungannon Swifts win it was 1-0 (2.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Crusaders in this match.
