Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cliftonville win with a probability of 78.69%. A draw had a probability of 13.4% and a win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 7.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cliftonville win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.2%) and 2-1 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.25%), while for a Dungannon Swifts win it was 1-2 (2.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cliftonville would win this match.
