Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 69.59%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 11.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.21%) and 1-2 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.77%), while for a Dungannon Swifts win it was 1-0 (4%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ballymena United would win this match.
