SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hemel Hempstead Town win with a probability of 38.01%. A win for Welling United had a probability of 34.78% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hemel Hempstead Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.17%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest Welling United win was 1-0 (10.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Hemel Hempstead Town in this match.
| Result | ||
| Welling United | Draw | Hemel Hempstead Town |
34.78% ( 0.04) | 27.21% ( 0.02) | 38.01% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 50.15% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.71% ( -0.06) | 55.29% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.49% ( -0.05) | 76.51% ( 0.05) |
| Welling United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.84% ( -0.01) | 30.16% ( 0) |
