Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hemel Hempstead Town win with a probability of 40.03%. A win for Welling United had a probability of 35.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hemel Hempstead Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.18%) and 2-0 (6.18%). The likeliest Welling United win was 1-2 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
