Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hemel Hempstead Town win with a probability of 51.98%. A win for Welling United had a probability of 24.32% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hemel Hempstead Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.71%) and 0-2 (8.73%). The likeliest Welling United win was 1-0 (6.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hemel Hempstead Town would win this match.
