Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dartford win with a probability of 64.09%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 16.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dartford win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.86%) and 0-1 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.09%), while for a Hemel Hempstead Town win it was 2-1 (4.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dartford would win this match.
