MX23RW : Saturday, March 11 21:14:24
SM
Fulham vs. Arsenal: 16 hrs 45 mins
Oct 9, 2021 at 3pm UK at Vauxhall Ground
Hemel Hempstead
0 - 4
Oxford City
 
FT(HT: 0-2)
Iaciofano (4', 7'), Bancroft (87'), Coyle (90+3')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Hemel Hempstead Town and Oxford City.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 65.91%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 15.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.52%) and 0-1 (8.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.49%), while for a Hemel Hempstead Town win it was 2-1 (4.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford City would win this match.

Result
Hemel Hempstead TownDrawOxford City
15.47%18.61%65.91%
Both teams to score 57.68%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.52%35.48%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.47%57.52%
Hemel Hempstead Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.12%35.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.34%72.66%
Oxford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.95%10.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.87%33.12%
Score Analysis
    Hemel Hempstead Town 15.47%
    Oxford City 65.91%
    Draw 18.61%
Hemel Hempstead TownDrawOxford City
2-1 @ 4.35%
1-0 @ 3.69%
2-0 @ 1.89%
3-2 @ 1.71%
3-1 @ 1.49%
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 15.47%
1-1 @ 8.49%
2-2 @ 5%
0-0 @ 3.6%
3-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 18.61%
1-2 @ 9.76%
0-2 @ 9.52%
0-1 @ 8.28%
1-3 @ 7.48%
0-3 @ 7.29%
1-4 @ 4.3%
0-4 @ 4.19%
2-3 @ 3.83%
2-4 @ 2.2%
1-5 @ 1.97%
0-5 @ 1.93%
2-5 @ 1.01%
Other @ 4.16%
Total : 65.91%

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Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Ebbsfleet38267589395085
2DartfordDartford37217969402970
3Oxford CityOxford City381713866462064
4Braintree TownBraintree371712854421263
5Havant & WaterloovilleHavant & W'ville361861266511560
6Worthing381612107061960
7Chelmsford CityChelmsford City371781247361159
8Tonbridge AngelsTonbridge Angels38177145756158
9St Albans CitySt Albans City361671356431355
10Bath City371510125245755
11Eastbourne BoroughEastbourne38174176360355
12Farnborough Town34158114335853
13Hemel Hempstead TownHemel Hempstead371310143946-749
14Dover AthleticDover Athletic371111153750-1344
15Slough TownSlough371110164664-1843
16Welling UnitedWelling United361013134352-942
17Hampton & RichmondHampton36108184660-1438
18Dulwich HamletDulwich Hamlet36115205174-2338
19Taunton TownTaunton Town31910123234-237
20Chippenham TownChippenham34813133648-1237
21Cheshunt3699184260-1836
22Weymouth3595214262-2032
23Concord Rangers3287173156-2531
24Hungerford TownHungerford3578203148-1729
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