Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 70.61%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Welling United had a probability of 12.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 3-0 (8.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.65%), while for a Welling United win it was 1-2 (3.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford City would win this match.