Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hemel Hempstead Town win with a probability of 43.65%. A win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 32.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hemel Hempstead Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.22%) and 2-0 (6.16%). The likeliest Chelmsford City win was 1-2 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
