Chelmsford City 1-2 Oxford City - National League South - February 26, 2022 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

Feb 26, 2022 at 3pm UK at Melbourne Stadium

Chelmsford City

1 - 2

Oxford City

Blackwell (10')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Ashby (38'), McEachran (79')

Coverage of the National League South clash between Chelmsford City and Oxford City.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 42.03%. A win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 31.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.74%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Chelmsford City win was 1-0 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford City would win this match.

Result
Chelmsford City	Draw	Oxford City
31.5%	26.47%	42.03%

Both teams to score 51.63%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.96%

53.04%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.37%

74.63%

Chelmsford City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.79%

31.2%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.45%

67.54%

Oxford City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.04%

24.96%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.4%

59.59%

Score Analysis

Chelmsford City 31.5%

Oxford City 42.02%

Draw 26.47%

Chelmsford City	Draw	Oxford City
1-0 @ 9.07% 2-1 @ 7.33% 2-0 @ 5.28% 3-1 @ 2.85% 3-0 @ 2.05% 3-2 @ 1.98% Other @ 2.94% Total : 31.5%	1-1 @ 12.58% 0-0 @ 7.79% 2-2 @ 5.09% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.47%	0-1 @ 10.8% 1-2 @ 8.74% 0-2 @ 7.5% 1-3 @ 4.04% 0-3 @ 3.47% 2-3 @ 2.35% 1-4 @ 1.4% 0-4 @ 1.21% Other @ 2.5% Total : 42.02%

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Table

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
1	Ebbsfleet	43	30	7	6	100	44	56	97
2	Dartford Dartford	41	23	7	11	77	45	32	76
3	Oxford City Oxford City	43	20	14	9	76	52	24	74
4	Chelmsford City Chelmsford City	42	21	8	13	59	45	14	71
5	Braintree Town Braintree	43	19	13	11	62	52	10	70
6	St Albans City St Albans City	43	20	9	14	66	49	17	69
7	Worthing	41	18	12	11	82	67	15	66
8	Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne	43	20	5	18	69	63	6	65
9	Havant & Waterlooville Havant & W'ville	42	18	10	14	74	62	12	64
10	Farnborough Town	41	18	9	14	55	45	10	63
11	Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels	42	18	9	15	63	65	-2	63
12	Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead	43	15	14	14	48	51	-3	59
13	Bath City	42	16	10	16	55	53	2	58
14	Chippenham Town Chippenham	43	14	15	14	53	63	-10	57
15	Taunton Town Taunton Town	40	14	10	16	43	44	-1	52
16	Hampton & Richmond Hampton	42	14	8	20	57	65	-8	50
17	Welling United Welling United	42	12	14	16	48	58	-10	49
18	Dover Athletic Dover Athletic	42	12	12	18	41	57	-16	48
19	Slough Town Slough	43	12	11	20	55	75	-20	47
20	Dulwich Hamlet Dulwich Hamlet	42	12	7	23	58	87	-29	43
21	Cheshunt	41	10	10	21	45	65	-20	40
22	Weymouth	42	11	6	25	51	75	-24	39
23	Hungerford Town Hungerford	40	9	9	22	42	58	-16	36
24	Concord Rangers	38	8	7	23	34	73	-39	31