SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spennymoor Town win with a probability of 48.07%. A win for Southport had a probability of 26.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spennymoor Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.57%). The likeliest Southport win was 0-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Spennymoor Town | Draw | Southport |
48.07% ( -0.02) | 25.27% ( 0.06) | 26.65% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 52.47% ( -0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.41% ( -0.27) | 50.58% ( 0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.5% ( -0.24) | 72.5% ( 0.24) |
| Spennymoor Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.94% ( -0.12) | 21.06% ( 0.11) |
