Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southport win with a probability of 38.68%. A win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 37.9% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southport win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.55%) and 0-2 (5.27%). The likeliest Spennymoor Town win was 2-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
