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National League North | Gameweek 46
Apr 29, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Phillips 66 Community Stadium
Leamington
2 - 1
Southport
Turner (17'), Kelly-Evans (86')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Heath (23')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Leamington FC and Southport.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fylde 5-1 Leamington
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Southport 1-3 Kidderminster
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leamington FC win with a probability of 45.97%. A win for Southport had a probability of 28.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leamington FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Southport win was 0-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leamington FC would win this match.

Result
Leamington FCDrawSouthport
45.97% (-0.0010000000000048 -0) 25.56%28.47% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 52.91%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.36%50.64% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.45% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)72.55% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Leamington FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.98%22.01% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.67% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)55.33% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Southport Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.85% (0.00099999999999056 0)32.15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.37% (0.0040000000000013 0)68.63% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Score Analysis
    Leamington FC 45.97%
    Southport 28.47%
    Draw 25.56%
Leamington FCDrawSouthport
1-0 @ 10.71%
2-1 @ 9.2% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 8.11%
3-1 @ 4.64%
3-0 @ 4.09%
3-2 @ 2.63%
4-1 @ 1.76%
4-0 @ 1.55% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1%
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 45.97%
1-1 @ 12.15%
0-0 @ 7.08%
2-2 @ 5.22%
3-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.56%
0-1 @ 8.03%
1-2 @ 6.9% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 4.56% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 2.61%
2-3 @ 1.97%
0-3 @ 1.72% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 28.47%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Fylde 5-1 Leamington
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Leamington 1-2 Chorley
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Kettering 3-0 Leamington
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Leamington 2-0 Hereford
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Alfreton 2-0 Leamington
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Leamington 0-2 Boston
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Southport 1-3 Kidderminster
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Southport 1-3 Spennymoor
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: King's Lynn 3-2 Southport
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Southport 1-2 Chester
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Bradford Park Av 2-0 Southport
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Southport 1-2 Banbury
Tuesday, April 4 at 7.45pm in National League North
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Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CFylde46298980443695
2King's Lynn TownKing's Lynn462712784434193
3Chester FCChester462218672413184
4Brackley Town4618151357471069
5Alfreton TownAlfreton4617181154441069
6Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster461912154942769
7Gloucester CityGloucester City461911167568768
8Scarborough AthleticScarborough Ath461814147469568
9Spennymoor TownSpennymoor461814146867168
10Darlington461813157264867
11Buxton461813155554167
12Chorley4617151462501266
13Curzon AshtonCurzon Ashton461811175855365
14Peterborough SportsP'boro Sports461512195055-557
15Boston UnitedBoston461511206866256
16Hereford UnitedHereford461510214756-955
17Banbury UnitedBanbury461315185562-754
18SouthportSouthport461311225062-1250
19Blyth Spartans461214204962-1350
20Farsley CelticFarsley Celtic461214205175-2450
RKettering TownKettering461116194163-2249
RLeamington FCLeamington461018184160-1948
RBradford Park AvenueBradford Park Av461113224365-2246
RAFC Telford UnitedTelford46614263576-4132
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