Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 37.32%. A win for Leamington FC had a probability of 35.63% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.12%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest Leamington FC win was 1-0 (10.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chorley would win this match.
-0.01) 
0.01) 
