Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fylde win with a probability of 65.16%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Leamington FC had a probability of 15.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fylde win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.02%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.26%), while for a Leamington FC win it was 0-1 (4.34%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fylde would win this match.
Result | ||
Fylde | Draw | Leamington FC |
65.16% ( 0.33) | 19.65% ( -0.14) | 15.19% ( -0.19) |
Both teams to score 53.15% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.97% ( 0.23) | 41.02% ( -0.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.58% ( 0.24) | 63.42% ( -0.24) |
Fylde Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.18% ( 0.16) | 11.82% ( -0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.93% ( 0.34) | 37.07% ( -0.33) |
Leamington FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.27% ( -0.1) | 39.72% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.6% ( -0.1) | 76.4% ( 0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Fylde | Draw | Leamington FC |
2-0 @ 10.7% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 10.02% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.88% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.62% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 7.03% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 4.07% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 3.76% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.25% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.74% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.73% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.6% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.75% Total : 65.14% | 1-1 @ 9.26% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 4.7% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.56% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 19.65% | 0-1 @ 4.34% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 4.27% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 2% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.86% Total : 15.19% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Fylde | 46 | 29 | 8 | 9 | 80 | 44 | 36 | 95 |
2 | King's Lynn TownKing's Lynn | 46 | 27 | 12 | 7 | 84 | 43 | 41 | 93 |
3 | Chester FCChester | 46 | 22 | 18 | 6 | 72 | 41 | 31 | 84 |
4 | Brackley Town | 46 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 57 | 47 | 10 | 69 |
5 | Alfreton TownAlfreton | 46 | 17 | 18 | 11 | 54 | 44 | 10 | 69 |
6 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 46 | 19 | 12 | 15 | 49 | 42 | 7 | 69 |
7 | Gloucester CityGloucester City | 46 | 19 | 11 | 16 | 75 | 68 | 7 | 68 |
8 | Scarborough AthleticScarborough Ath | 46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 74 | 69 | 5 | 68 |
9 | Spennymoor TownSpennymoor | 46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 68 | 67 | 1 | 68 |
10 | Darlington | 46 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 72 | 64 | 8 | 67 |
11 | Buxton | 46 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 55 | 54 | 1 | 67 |
12 | Chorley | 46 | 17 | 15 | 14 | 62 | 50 | 12 | 66 |
13 | Curzon AshtonCurzon Ashton | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 58 | 55 | 3 | 65 |
14 | Peterborough SportsP'boro Sports | 46 | 15 | 12 | 19 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 57 |
15 | Boston UnitedBoston | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 68 | 66 | 2 | 56 |
16 | Hereford UnitedHereford | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 47 | 56 | -9 | 55 |
17 | Banbury UnitedBanbury | 46 | 13 | 15 | 18 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 54 |
18 | SouthportSouthport | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 50 | 62 | -12 | 50 |
19 | Blyth Spartans | 46 | 12 | 14 | 20 | 49 | 62 | -13 | 50 |
20 | Farsley CelticFarsley Celtic | 46 | 12 | 14 | 20 | 51 | 75 | -24 | 50 |
R | Kettering TownKettering | 46 | 11 | 16 | 19 | 41 | 63 | -22 | 49 |
R | Leamington FCLeamington | 46 | 10 | 18 | 18 | 41 | 60 | -19 | 48 |
R | Bradford Park AvenueBradford Park Av | 46 | 11 | 13 | 22 | 43 | 65 | -22 | 46 |
R | AFC Telford UnitedTelford | 46 | 6 | 14 | 26 | 35 | 76 | -41 | 32 |
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