Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston United win with a probability of 41.25%. A win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 33.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boston United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest Curzon Ashton win was 1-0 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boston United would win this match.
