Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kettering Town win with a probability of 43.27%. A win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 31.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kettering Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest Curzon Ashton win was 1-0 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
