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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 38.31%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 36.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.07%) and 0-2 (5.91%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 2-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Inter Miami | Draw | Atlanta United |
36.92% ( -1.31) | 24.77% ( 0.35) | 38.31% ( 0.96) |
| Both teams to score 58.58% ( -1.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.39% ( -1.68) | 44.61% ( 1.68) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.03% ( -1.64) | 66.97% ( 1.64) |
| Inter Miami Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.17% ( -1.44) | 23.83% ( 1.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.99% ( -2.11) | 58.01% ( 2.11) |
| Atlanta United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.9% ( -0.26) | 23.1% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.05% ( -0.38) | 56.95% ( 0.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| Inter Miami | Draw | Atlanta United |
| 2-1 @ 8.3% ( -0.16) 1-0 @ 7.9% ( 0.24)2-0 @ 5.66% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 3.97% ( -0.25)3-2 @ 2.91% ( -0.21)3-0 @ 2.71% ( -0.15)4-1 @ 1.42% ( -0.16)4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.12)4-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.05% Total : 36.92% | 1-1 @ 11.56% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 6.08% ( -0.17)0-0 @ 5.5% ( 0.39)3-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.76% | 1-2 @ 8.48% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 8.07% ( 0.51)0-2 @ 5.91% ( 0.33)1-3 @ 4.14% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.97% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 2.89% ( 0.14)1-4 @ 1.52% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.2% Total : 38.31% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 26 | 15 | 11 | 39 |
| 2 | Nashville SCNashville | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 31 |
| 3 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 30 |
| 4 | New England RevolutionNew England | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 27 |
| 5 | Columbus Crew | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 24 |
| 6 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 24 |
| 7 | DC United | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 23 |
| 8 | Orlando City | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 23 |
| 9 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 21 |
| 10 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 19 |
| 11 | CF MontrealMontreal | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 19 |
| 12 | Toronto | 17 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 18 |
| 13 | Chicago Fire | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 17 |
| 14 | New York City FCNY City | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 17 |
| 15 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 16 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 15 |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | St Louis City | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 32 | 14 | 18 | 29 |
| 2 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 27 |
| 3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 23 | 10 | 13 | 25 |
| 4 | Dallas | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 24 |
| 5 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 23 |
| 6 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 21 |
| 7 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 20 |
| 8 | Austin FCAustin | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 19 |
| 9 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 19 |
| 10 | Houston DynamoHouston | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 18 |
| 11 | Portland TimbersPortland | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 17 |
| 12 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 17 |
| 13 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 13 |
| 14 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 12 |
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