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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Columbus Crew | 17 | 2 | 22 |
| 6 | Houston Dynamo | 18 | -1 | 21 |
| 7 | Toronto | 18 | -10 | 18 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 18 | 4 | 28 |
| 3 | Dallas | 18 | 7 | 27 |
| 4 | Seattle Sounders | 17 | 7 | 26 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 42.26%. A win for Dallas had a probability of 32.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Dallas win was 0-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Houston Dynamo | Draw | Dallas |
42.26% ( -0.21) | 25.7% ( -0.11) | 32.04% ( 0.32) |
| Both teams to score 54.33% ( 0.49) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.35% ( 0.59) | 49.65% ( -0.58) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.33% ( 0.52) | 71.67% ( -0.52) |
| Houston Dynamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.66% ( 0.16) | 23.34% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.7% ( 0.22) | 57.3% ( -0.22) |
| Dallas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.87% ( 0.5) | 29.13% ( -0.5) |
