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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Real Salt Lake | 15 | -1 | 25 |
| 3 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 14 | 1 | 23 |
| 4 | Colorado Rapids | 14 | 2 | 18 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | CF Montreal | 14 | 4 | 23 |
| 4 | Houston Dynamo | 14 | 0 | 18 |
| 5 | Columbus Crew | 13 | 1 | 16 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 58.88%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 19.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 2-0 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.27%), while for a Houston Dynamo win it was 0-1 (5.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
58.88% ( 0.38) | 21.8% ( -0.13) | 19.32% ( -0.26) |
| Both teams to score 54.5% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.53% ( 0.19) | 43.47% ( -0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.13% ( 0.18) | 65.87% ( -0.19) |
| Los Angeles Galaxy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.57% ( 0.18) | 14.43% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 57.63% ( 0.36) | 42.37% ( -0.36) |
| Houston Dynamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.69% ( -0.16) | 36.31% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.9% ( -0.17) | 73.1% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
| 1-0 @ 10.14% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.95% ( 0)2-0 @ 9.82% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 6.42% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 6.34% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 3.25% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.11% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 3.07% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 1.57% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.2% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.83% Total : 58.87% | 1-1 @ 10.27% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 5.24% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 5.04% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.79% | 0-1 @ 5.31% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 5.21% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.75% Total : 19.32% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 44 | 30 | 14 | 57 |
| 2 | New England RevolutionNew England | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 45 | 31 | 14 | 47 |
| 3 | Orlando City | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 41 | 31 | 10 | 47 |
| 4 | Columbus Crew | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 54 | 37 | 17 | 45 |
| 5 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 43 | 30 | 13 | 43 |
| 6 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 51 | 43 | 8 | 42 |
| 7 | Nashville SCNashville | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 40 |
| 8 | CF MontrealMontreal | 27 | 11 | 2 | 14 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 35 |
| 9 | DC United | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 37 | 38 | -1 | 33 |
| 10 | Chicago Fire | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 32 |
| 11 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 31 |
| 12 | New York City FCNY City | 28 | 6 | 12 | 10 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 30 |
| 13 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 29 |
| 14 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 22 |
| 15 | Toronto | 27 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 23 | 39 | -16 | 22 |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | St Louis City | 27 | 15 | 2 | 10 | 53 | 35 | 18 | 47 |
| 2 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 34 | 29 | 5 | 41 |
| 3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 39 | 27 | 12 | 40 |
| 4 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 38 | 39 | -1 | 40 |
| 5 | Houston DynamoHouston | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 36 | 31 | 5 | 39 |
| 6 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 43 | 36 | 7 | 38 |
| 7 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 36 |
| 8 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 36 |
| 9 | Dallas | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 34 |
| 10 | Austin FCAustin | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 33 |
| 11 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 32 |
| 12 | Portland TimbersPortland | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 32 | 44 | -12 | 30 |
| 13 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 29 |
| 14 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 26 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 16 | 39 | -23 | 19 |
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