Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colorado Rapids win with a probability of 50.25%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 26.01% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colorado Rapids win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.47%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 1-2 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colorado Rapids would win this match.
