Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 52.49%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 24.08% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 0-1 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
