Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 45.16%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 29.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 0-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.
