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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 40.29%. A win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 35.91% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.19%) and 2-0 (5.76%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win was 1-2 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Austin FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Austin FC | Draw | Portland Timbers |
| 40.29% | 23.8% | 35.91% |
| Both teams to score 62.07% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
