Austin FC 3-2 Houston Dynamo - Major League Soccer - August 5, 2021 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

Aug 5, 2021 at 2am UK at Austin FC Stadium

Austin

3 - 2

Houston

Pochettino (7', 45+1'), Dominguez (56')
Stroud (83')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Pasher (27'), Picault (86')
Dorsey (79')
Ceren (20')

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The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Austin FC and Houston Dynamo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 38.14%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 36.42% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.18%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 0-1 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Austin FC would win this match.

Result
Austin FC	Draw	Houston Dynamo
38.14%	25.44%	36.42%

Both teams to score 56.16%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.3%

47.7%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.1%

69.89%

Austin FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.41%

24.58%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.92%

59.07%

Houston Dynamo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.47%

25.53%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.61%

60.38%

Score Analysis

Austin FC 38.14%

Houston Dynamo 36.42%

Draw 25.44%

Austin FC	Draw	Houston Dynamo
1-0 @ 8.81% 2-1 @ 8.43% 2-0 @ 6.18% 3-1 @ 3.95% 3-0 @ 2.89% 3-2 @ 2.69% 4-1 @ 1.38% 4-0 @ 1.01% 4-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.85% Total : 38.14%	1-1 @ 12.02% 0-0 @ 6.28% 2-2 @ 5.76% 3-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.44%	0-1 @ 8.57% 1-2 @ 8.21% 0-2 @ 5.85% 1-3 @ 3.74% 0-3 @ 2.66% 2-3 @ 2.62% 1-4 @ 1.28% 0-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.59% Total : 36.42%

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Eastern Conference

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
1	Atlanta United Atlanta	4	3	1	0	11	3	8	10
2	New England Revolution New England	4	3	0	1	5	4	1	9
3	FC Cincinnati Cincinnati	4	2	2	0	6	4	2	8
4	Nashville SC Nashville	4	2	1	1	4	1	3	7
5	New York City FC NY City	4	2	1	1	5	5	0	7
6	Philadelphia Union Philadelphia	4	2	0	2	7	6	1	6
7	Inter Miami Inter Miami	4	2	0	2	4	3	1	6
8	Toronto	4	1	2	1	6	5	1	5
9	New York Red Bulls NY Red Bulls	4	1	2	1	3	3	0	5
10	Orlando City	4	1	2	1	3	3	0	5
11	DC United	4	1	1	2	6	8	-2	4
12	Columbus Crew	4	1	1	2	5	7	-2	4
13	CF Montreal Montreal	4	1	0	3	3	7	-4	3
14	Charlotte FC Charlotte FC	4	1	0	3	3	8	-5	3
15	Chicago Fire	3	0	2	1	4	5	-1	2

Western Conference

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
1	St Louis City	4	4	0	0	11	4	7	12
2	Los Angeles FC Los Angeles	3	2	1	0	7	2	5	7
3	Seattle Sounders Seattle	4	2	1	1	6	1	5	7
4	Dallas	4	2	1	1	6	4	2	7
5	Minnesota United Minnesota Utd	3	2	1	0	4	2	2	7
6	Austin FC Austin	4	2	0	2	5	6	-1	6
7	San Jose Earthquakes Earthquakes	4	2	0	2	4	6	-2	6
8	Houston Dynamo Houston	3	1	0	2	3	5	-2	3
9	Real Salt Lake Salt Lake	3	1	0	2	3	5	-2	3
10	Portland Timbers Portland	4	1	0	3	5	10	-5	3
11	Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver	4	0	2	2	4	6	-2	2
12	Los Angeles Galaxy LA Galaxy	3	0	2	1	2	4	-2	2
13	Sporting Kansas City Kansas	4	0	2	2	1	3	-2	2
14	Colorado Rapids Colorado	4	0	1	3	1	7	-6	1