SM
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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Seattle Sounders win with a probability of 44.93%. A win for Austin FC had a probability of 30.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Seattle Sounders win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.2%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Austin FC win was 1-0 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Seattle Sounders in this match.
| Result | ||
| Austin FC | Draw | Seattle Sounders |
| 30.4% | 24.68% | 44.93% |
| Both teams to score 56.98% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
