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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 54.8%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Dallas had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.35%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.53%), while for a Dallas win it was 0-1 (6.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Austin FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Austin FC | Draw | Dallas |
54.8% ( -0.1) | 24.29% ( -0.01) | 20.9% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 49.14% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.16% ( 0.13) | 51.83% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.4% ( 0.11) | 73.59% ( -0.12) |
| Austin FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.18% ( 0.01) | 18.82% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.75% ( 0.02) | 50.25% ( -0.03) |
| Dallas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.53% ( 0.17) | 39.46% ( -0.18) |
