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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 49.28%. A win for Dallas had a probability of 25.36% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (9.02%). The likeliest Dallas win was 0-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Portland Timbers in this match.
| Result | ||
| Portland Timbers | Draw | Dallas |
49.28% ( -0.06) | 25.36% ( -0.06) | 25.36% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 51.1% ( 0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.16% ( 0.32) | 51.84% ( -0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.4% ( 0.28) | 73.6% ( -0.27) |
| Portland Timbers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.95% ( 0.1) | 21.05% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.15% ( 0.16) | 53.85% ( -0.16) |
| Dallas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.72% ( 0.28) | 35.28% ( -0.28) |
