Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 44.42%. A win for Nice had a probability of 30.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest Nice win was 1-0 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
