Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 48.8%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Nice had a probability of 24.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.42%) and 1-2 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.41%), while for a Nice win it was 1-0 (8.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
