Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 43.99%. A win for Atletico San Luis had a probability of 28.73% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (8.38%). The likeliest Atletico San Luis win was 1-0 (9.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pachuca would win this match.
