Sutton United 3-2 Colchester United - League Two - January 18, 2022 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

Sutton prevailed in the reverse fixture back in October, and we think that they will use their impressive home record to their advantage to pick up all three points on Wednesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 51.96%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Colchester United had a probability of 21.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.85%) and 2-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.28%), while for a Colchester United win it was 0-1 (8.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sutton United would win this match.

Result
Sutton United	Draw	Colchester United
51.96%	26.79%	21.25%

Both teams to score 42.83%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.59%

60.41%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.45%

80.55%

Sutton United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.53%

23.47%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.51%

57.49%

Colchester United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.96%

44.04%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.85%

80.16%

Score Analysis

Sutton United 51.95%

Colchester United 21.25%

Draw 26.78%

Sutton United	Draw	Colchester United
1-0 @ 14.98% 2-0 @ 10.85% 2-1 @ 8.9% 3-0 @ 5.25% 3-1 @ 4.3% 4-0 @ 1.9% 3-2 @ 1.76% 4-1 @ 1.56% Other @ 2.44% Total : 51.95%	1-1 @ 12.28% 0-0 @ 10.33% 2-2 @ 3.65% Other @ 0.52% Total : 26.78%	0-1 @ 8.48% 1-2 @ 5.04% 0-2 @ 3.48% 1-3 @ 1.38% 2-3 @ 1% 0-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.94% Total : 21.25%

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League Two Table

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
P	Leyton Orient	42	24	12	6	56	29	27	84
2	Northampton Town Northampton	43	21	14	8	57	39	18	77
3	Stevenage	42	21	13	8	57	38	19	76
4	Stockport County Stockport	43	20	12	11	60	36	24	72
5	Carlisle United Carlisle	43	19	15	9	62	39	23	72
6	Bradford City Bradford	42	19	14	9	54	36	18	71
7	Salford City	43	20	9	14	66	49	17	69
8	Mansfield Town Mansfield	42	19	12	11	67	51	16	69
9	Barrow Barrow	43	18	8	17	46	48	-2	62
10	Sutton United Sutton	43	15	12	16	43	49	-6	57
11	Swindon Town Swindon	42	14	13	15	53	50	3	55
12	Grimsby Town	42	14	13	15	46	52	-6	55
13	Tranmere Rovers Tranmere	43	14	12	17	42	46	-4	54
14	Doncaster Rovers Doncaster	43	15	7	21	43	60	-17	52
15	Walsall	43	11	18	14	42	45	-3	51
16	Crewe Alexandra Crewe	41	12	15	14	41	51	-10	51
17	Gillingham	43	13	12	18	32	45	-13	51
18	Newport County Newport	42	12	14	16	44	49	-5	50
19	AFC Wimbledon	43	11	14	18	46	53	-7	47
20	Colchester United Colchester	43	11	13	19	40	47	-7	46
21	Harrogate Town Harrogate	42	10	15	17	52	61	-9	45
22	Crawley Town Crawley	43	10	12	21	45	69	-24	42
23	Hartlepool United Hartlepool	43	8	15	20	48	74	-26	39
24	Rochdale	43	8	10	25	41	67	-26	34