Newport County 3-2 Sutton United - League Two - December 7, 2021 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

Dec 7, 2021 at 7.45pm UK at Rodney Parade

Newport

3 - 2

Sutton

Collins (53'), Baker-Richardson (64'), Dolan (90+3' pen.)

FT(HT: 0-2)

Ajiboye (24', 42')
Barden (72')
Eastmond (34')

The Match

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Newport County and Sutton United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Newport County 1-2 Sutton United

Both teams have been strong this season, which is why they are in the mix for a potential promotion from League Two, being in the top half of the table. There is a lot to play for in this game in regards to the playoff positions, but with Sutton United having had a stronger start to the season, they should be the favourites to win here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 45.32%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 28.31% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 0-1 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.

Result
Newport County	Draw	Sutton United
45.32%	26.36%	28.31%

Both teams to score 50.35%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.08%

53.92%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.63%

75.37%

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.28%

23.71%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.16%

57.84%

Sutton United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.01%

33.99%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.33%

70.67%

Score Analysis

Newport County 45.32%

Sutton United 28.31%

Draw 26.36%

Newport County	Draw	Sutton United
1-0 @ 11.6% 2-1 @ 9.01% 2-0 @ 8.35% 3-1 @ 4.32% 3-0 @ 4% 3-2 @ 2.33% 4-1 @ 1.55% 4-0 @ 1.44% Other @ 2.72% Total : 45.32%	1-1 @ 12.51% 0-0 @ 8.06% 2-2 @ 4.86% Other @ 0.93% Total : 26.36%	0-1 @ 8.7% 1-2 @ 6.75% 0-2 @ 4.69% 1-3 @ 2.43% 2-3 @ 1.75% 0-3 @ 1.69% Other @ 2.3% Total : 28.31%

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League Two Table

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
1	Leyton Orient	34	21	8	5	45	21	24	71
2	Carlisle United Carlisle	33	16	10	7	54	34	20	58
3	Stevenage	31	16	9	6	43	26	17	57
4	Northampton Town Northampton	32	15	10	7	45	31	14	55
5	Stockport County Stockport	33	16	6	11	48	31	17	54
6	Salford City	33	15	7	11	47	35	12	52
7	Mansfield Town Mansfield	32	15	7	10	51	42	9	52
8	Bradford City Bradford	31	14	9	8	38	29	9	51
9	Sutton United Sutton	33	14	8	11	36	38	-2	50
10	Swindon Town Swindon	32	13	9	10	43	35	8	48
11	Barrow Barrow	33	14	5	14	36	40	-4	47
12	Doncaster Rovers Doncaster	32	14	4	14	36	43	-7	46
13	Tranmere Rovers Tranmere	33	12	8	13	33	32	1	44
14	Walsall	31	10	13	8	35	28	7	43
15	AFC Wimbledon	32	10	12	10	33	33	0	42
16	Grimsby Town	30	10	8	12	34	38	-4	38
17	Crewe Alexandra Crewe	32	8	14	10	28	39	-11	38
18	Newport County Newport	32	9	10	13	31	36	-5	37
19	Colchester United Colchester	34	9	8	17	31	40	-9	35
20	Gillingham	31	8	9	14	21	35	-14	33
21	Harrogate Town Harrogate	32	7	9	16	37	50	-13	30
22	Hartlepool United Hartlepool	34	6	10	18	36	62	-26	28
23	Crawley Town Crawley	30	6	8	16	34	52	-18	26
24	Rochdale	34	5	7	22	27	52	-25	22