Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 49.26%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 25.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.14%), while for a Tranmere Rovers win it was 0-1 (7.9%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.
