MX23RW : Sunday, February 12 03:30:38
SM
Sunday, February 12
Jan 29, 2022 at 3pm UK at Rodney Parade
Newport
2 - 1
Barrow
Telford (2', 12')
Willmott (90+5')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Demetriou (63' og.)
Brough (41'), Banks (59'), Brown (75'), Hutton (81'), Driscoll-Glennon (90+5')

We said: Newport County 2-0 Barrow

Newport will be expected to win this clash comfortably at Rodney Parade on Saturday, particularly with them possessing home advantage. The hosts are on the up after their successive victories in recent weeks, whilst the visitors are lacking form and confidence as they make the trip to the promotion contenders. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 56.08%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Barrow had a probability of 19.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.68%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.38%), while for a Barrow win it was 0-1 (6.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.

Result
Newport CountyDrawBarrow
56.08%24%19.92%
Both teams to score 48.57%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.13%51.87%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.38%73.62%
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.65%18.35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.54%49.46%
Barrow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.48%40.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.87%77.13%
Score Analysis
    Newport County 56.06%
    Barrow 19.92%
    Draw 23.99%
Newport CountyDrawBarrow
1-0 @ 12.6%
2-0 @ 10.68%
2-1 @ 9.66%
3-0 @ 6.04%
3-1 @ 5.46%
4-0 @ 2.56%
3-2 @ 2.47%
4-1 @ 2.31%
4-2 @ 1.05%
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 56.06%
1-1 @ 11.38%
0-0 @ 7.44%
2-2 @ 4.36%
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 23.99%
0-1 @ 6.72%
1-2 @ 5.14%
0-2 @ 3.03%
1-3 @ 1.55%
2-3 @ 1.31%
0-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.25%
Total : 19.92%

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TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leyton Orient30196539172263
2Stevenage27168339182156
3Carlisle UnitedCarlisle29149648282051
4Northampton TownNorthampton28148642281450
5Salford City29146940291148
6Mansfield TownMansfield2812794137443
7Stockport CountyStockport281261039271242
8Swindon TownSwindon2811983730742
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10BarrowBarrow29125123438-441
11Doncaster RoversDoncaster28124123340-740
12Sutton UnitedSutton29117112835-740
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14Walsall2610883023738
15Tranmere RoversTranmere29108113128338
16Grimsby Town2596102932-333
17Colchester UnitedColchester3087153038-831
18Crewe AlexandraCrewe27710102134-1331
19Newport CountyNewport2778122631-529
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2776143341-827
21Crawley TownCrawley2667132942-1325
22Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool2967162952-2325
23Gillingham2759131531-1624
24Rochdale2955192344-2120
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