Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 55.37%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 20.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.58%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for a Newport County win it was 0-1 (6.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Forest Green Rovers would win this match.
