Coverage of the League Two clash between Newport County and Harrogate Town.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 47.07%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 27.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (8.57%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 0-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.