MX23RW : Saturday, January 14 20:38:46
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Saturday, January 14
Feb 1, 2022 at 7.45pm UK at Colchester Community Stadium
Colchester
1 - 1
Rochdale
Judge (53')
Skuse (41')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Grant (76')
O'Connell (65')

We said: Colchester United 1-1 Rochdale

Colchester will be looking to make it three league games unbeaten on Tuesday evening, and we are finding it difficult to back the hosts to lose this match, but Rochdale have only been beaten in one of their last four in the league, so we have had to settle on a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 43.07%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 29.21% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.52%) and 0-2 (8.29%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 1-0 (9.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Colchester UnitedDrawRochdale
29.21%27.72%43.07%
Both teams to score 46.95%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.47%58.53%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.89%79.1%
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.24%35.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.47%72.53%
Rochdale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.07%26.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.75%62.25%
Score Analysis
    Colchester United 29.21%
    Rochdale 43.07%
    Draw 27.72%
Colchester UnitedDrawRochdale
1-0 @ 9.9%
2-1 @ 6.68%
2-0 @ 5.09%
3-1 @ 2.29%
3-0 @ 1.75%
3-2 @ 1.5%
Other @ 2%
Total : 29.21%
1-1 @ 12.99%
0-0 @ 9.63%
2-2 @ 4.38%
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 27.72%
0-1 @ 12.63%
1-2 @ 8.52%
0-2 @ 8.29%
1-3 @ 3.73%
0-3 @ 3.63%
2-3 @ 1.92%
1-4 @ 1.22%
0-4 @ 1.19%
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 43.07%

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League Two Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leyton Orient26176336132357
2Stevenage25157336181852
3Northampton TownNorthampton26137640281246
4Carlisle UnitedCarlisle25119539251442
5Salford City25125834241041
6Swindon TownSwindon2611873325841
7Bradford CityBradford2511773125640
8BarrowBarrow26124103230240
9Mansfield TownMansfield2611693635139
10Stockport CountyStockport24114935231237
11Walsall2410773022837
12Doncaster RoversDoncaster25114103035-537
13AFC Wimbledon269982928136
14Sutton UnitedSutton27106112735-836
15Tranmere RoversTranmere269892823535
16Grimsby Town2486102632-630
17Crewe AlexandraCrewe247982028-830
18Newport CountyNewport2668122430-626
19Colchester UnitedColchester2675142633-726
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2566133240-824
21Crawley TownCrawley2457122639-1322
22Rochdale2655162239-1720
23Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool2547142447-2319
24Gillingham243813928-1917
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