Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 39.21%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 32.94% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.16%) and 0-2 (7.31%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 (10.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
