Carlisle United 3-1 Bradford City - League Two - March 13, 2021 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

League Two | Gameweek 36

Mar 13, 2021 at 3pm UK

Brunton Park

Carlisle

3 - 1

Bradford

Bennett (37'), Zanzala (39', 56')
Zanzala (74'), Farman (79'), Alessandra (80'), Patrick (90')

FT(HT: 2-0)

O'Connor (64')
Watt (34'), Sutton (69'), O'Connor (73'), Rowe (90+5')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Carlisle United and Bradford City.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 38.86%. A win for Bradford City had a probability of 34.75% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Bradford City win was 0-1 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carlisle United would win this match.

Result
Carlisle United	Draw	Bradford City
38.86%	26.39%	34.75%

Both teams to score 52.77%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.03%

51.96%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.29%

73.71%

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.85%

26.15%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.78%

61.22%

Bradford City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.46%

28.54%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.67%

64.33%

Score Analysis

Carlisle United 38.86%

Bradford City 34.75%

Draw 26.39%

Carlisle United	Draw	Bradford City
1-0 @ 10.01% 2-1 @ 8.42% 2-0 @ 6.72% 3-1 @ 3.76% 3-0 @ 3% 3-2 @ 2.36% 4-1 @ 1.26% 4-0 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.32% Total : 38.86%	1-1 @ 12.55% 0-0 @ 7.46% 2-2 @ 5.28% 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.39%	0-1 @ 9.36% 1-2 @ 7.87% 0-2 @ 5.87% 1-3 @ 3.29% 0-3 @ 2.45% 2-3 @ 2.21% 1-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.68% Total : 34.75%

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League Two Table

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Leyton Orient	46	26	13	7	61	34	27	91
P	Stevenage	46	24	13	9	61	39	22	85
P	Northampton Town Northampton	46	23	14	9	62	42	20	83
4	Stockport County Stockport	46	22	13	11	65	37	28	79
5	Carlisle United Carlisle	46	20	16	10	66	43	23	76
6	Bradford City Bradford	46	20	16	10	61	43	18	76
7	Salford City	46	22	9	15	72	54	18	75
8	Mansfield Town Mansfield	46	21	12	13	72	55	17	75
9	Barrow Barrow	46	18	8	20	47	53	-6	62
10	Swindon Town Swindon	46	16	13	17	61	55	6	61
11	Grimsby Town	46	16	13	17	49	56	-7	61
12	Tranmere Rovers Tranmere	46	15	13	18	45	48	-3	58
13	Crewe Alexandra Crewe	46	14	16	16	48	60	-12	58
14	Sutton United Sutton	46	15	13	18	46	58	-12	58
15	Newport County Newport	46	14	15	17	53	56	-3	57
16	Walsall	46	12	19	15	46	49	-3	55
17	Gillingham	46	14	13	19	36	49	-13	55
18	Doncaster Rovers Doncaster	46	16	7	23	46	65	-19	55
19	Harrogate Town Harrogate	46	12	16	18	59	68	-9	52
20	Colchester United Colchester	46	12	13	21	44	51	-7	49
21	AFC Wimbledon	46	11	15	20	48	60	-12	48
22	Crawley Town Crawley	46	11	13	22	48	71	-23	46
R	Hartlepool United Hartlepool	46	9	16	21	52	78	-26	43
R	Rochdale	46	9	11	26	46	70	-24	38