SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 63.93%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Reading had a probability of 17.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.46%) and 3-1 (7.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.27%), while for a Reading win it was 1-2 (4.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Peterborough United | Draw | Reading |
63.93% ( -0.47) | 18.79% ( 0.03) | 17.28% ( 0.44) |
| Both teams to score 61.35% ( 0.88) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.31% ( 0.69) | 32.68% ( -0.69) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.64% ( 0.79) | 54.36% ( -0.8) |
| Peterborough United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.26% ( 0.08) | 9.74% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 67.58% ( 0.19) | 32.42% ( -0.19) |
| Reading Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.97% ( 0.92) | 32.02% ( -0.92) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.51% ( 1.03) | 68.49% ( -1.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Peterborough United | Draw | Reading |
| 2-1 @ 9.63% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 8.46% ( -0.25)3-1 @ 7.48% ( -0)1-0 @ 7.26% ( -0.24)3-0 @ 6.57% ( -0.17)4-1 @ 4.35% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 4.26% ( 0.1)4-0 @ 3.82% ( -0.09)4-2 @ 2.48% ( 0.07)5-1 @ 2.03% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.78% ( -0.03)5-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.04)4-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.72% Total : 63.93% | 1-1 @ 8.27% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.48% ( 0.11)0-0 @ 3.12% ( -0.12)3-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.3% Total : 18.79% | 1-2 @ 4.71% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 3.55% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 2.02% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.07)Other @ 3.13% Total : 17.28% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portsmouth | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 42 | 25 | 17 | 53 |
| 2 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 52 | 28 | 24 | 52 |
| 3 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 24 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 45 | 24 | 21 | 51 |
| 4 | Derby CountyDerby | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 47 | 24 | 23 | 49 |
| 5 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 26 | 15 | 4 | 7 | 45 | 30 | 15 | 49 |
| 6 | Barnsley | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 48 | 29 | 19 | 46 |
| 7 | Stevenage | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 38 | 25 | 13 | 46 |
| 8 | Blackpool | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 42 |
| 9 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 37 |
| 10 | Leyton Orient | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 35 |
| 11 | Bristol Rovers | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 35 | 35 | 0 | 34 |
| 12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 33 |
| 13 | Port Vale | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 31 |
| 14 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 30 |
| 15 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 30 |
| 16 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 30 |
| 17 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 27 | 9 | 3 | 15 | 17 | 37 | -20 | 30 |
| 18 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 36 | 31 | 5 | 28 |
| 19 | Burton Albion | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 21 | 35 | -14 | 28 |
| 20 | Exeter CityExeter | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 18 | 39 | -21 | 26 |
| 21 | Reading | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 24 |
| 22 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 23 |
| 23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 27 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 22 | 41 | -19 | 20 |
| 24 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 23 | 47 | -24 | 18 |
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